Wednesday, December 25, 2013

Point system - Quality over Quantity

1 pt (e.g 10 euro) = minimum bet
5pt (e.g 50 euro) = maximum bet (confidence)



(P and L Points to be updated for Saturday 16th)






Race by Race tips on Twitter - @dermonolan91




       15.10 King George Kempton - Big Race Of The Day





Dynaste could well win this

What a race in prospect here and a real corker with the majority of these here with a shout and,the majority of these are in some shape or form grade one winners. Dynaste ran the race of his life last time out and I just cannot see why he could not improve this time and win this especially with the expected going .

Cue Card was brilliant last time out - but I felt he got an easy lead and was allowed to dictate matters under the astute Tizzards. This time out with fewer yards I feel Tom Scudamore will press him more and with the going about to suit, Dynaste could be collecting.


As I said they all have chances, Sylvianico Conti has a big one in him, as does Al Ferof and I would not at all be surprised were Long Run to show up as he loves this race.

Kempton is the kind of flat track that can find horses out and I feel experience around here is vital - and Dynaste has course and distance form on heavy going at Kempton. One for the forecast is the under rated Irish runner Mount Belbulben who should run a big race.


  • 3 pts win Dynaste 10/3
  • 1 pt rfc Dynaste & Mount Belbulben


                
13.50 Handicap Hurdle Leopardstown (Nap) 


Davy Russell could collect again
This is another tough handicap to dissect and despite the fact that several of these will have followers for this - Sea Light landed a nice punt last time out and despite being 10 pounds higher he could well land this at good odds.

He was fifth in his first handicap in a 9 runner field at Clonmel - but then went on and won well last time under Davy Russell. They must fancy him as he is entered in another handicap later on in the week also. The fact that Davy Russell is on board is a massive positive also as Gigginstown (Usually obligated to ride for them) have a runner in this also in the shape of SomethingWonderful and he has opted for our selection.

A 10lb rise may not be enough to stop this likeable sort! 
Davy Russell will have him in the right place and a word of warning - take the earliest price you can.


3 pts win Sea Light 11/4              

                      


12.50 Maiden Hurdle Leopardstown (NB)




  • 1 pts e/w The Winkler 6/1




15.45 Handicap Hurdle Kempton (Each Way Of The Day)




  • 1pts e/w Big Casino 10/1

 

                       




Other bets around the lands





Leopardstown

  • 1pt e/w King Vuvuzela 15/2 14.20

 

 Limerick

  • 1pt win Ibsen 9/2 12.30
  • 1pt e/w Tropical Tree 8/1 14.10
  • 1pt e/w Yeoman 15.20 8/1
  • 2pts Win Dr Zoom15.55 4/1



Down Royal

  • 1pt win Rye Martini 5/1 12.30
  • 2pt Win Tammys Hill 11/8 13.30
  • 1pt e/w Without Wings 14.00 25/1
  • 2pts Win Shemshal 14.30 3/1 

Kempton

  • 1pt win Sgt Reckless 7/2 12.50
  • 2pt Win Ericht 3/1 13.20
  • 4pt win The New One 14.35 Evens

Towcester

  • 1pt win Barton Gift 10/3 12.45
  • 4pt Win Baby Shine Evens 13.55
  • 2pts Win Trozulon 14.30 7/4
  • 1pts E/W Salut Hnoure15.05

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